How EUR/USD Reacts to Non-Farm Payrolls: Real Historical Data
Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) is one of the most volatile releases on the calendar. Instead of explaining the concept, this page shows exactly what happened to EUR/USD after each of the last 10 releases.
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Trade Smarter Around High-Impact Events
These moves can blow through drawdown limits in seconds. Size your position before the next release, not after.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does NFP affect the US dollar?
A stronger-than-expected NFP print typically strengthens the US dollar, since it signals a healthy labor market and supports the case for the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates higher. A weaker print does the opposite, often weakening the dollar as it raises expectations of rate cuts.
What happens to EUR/USD if NFP misses the forecast?
When NFP comes in below forecast, EUR/USD has historically moved higher in the following hour, since USD weakens on the surprise. The size of the move depends on how large the miss is relative to expectations, and can reverse if other parts of the report (like wage growth) send a conflicting signal.
How many pips does EUR/USD move on NFP?
Based on the last 0 releases tracked on this page, EUR/USD moved an average of 0 pips within 60 minutes of the release, though individual moves have ranged much wider depending on the size of the surprise.
Should I trade through NFP on a funded account?
Many prop firms restrict trading around high-impact news releases, and even where it's allowed, the wider spreads and slippage during NFP make it a high-risk window for an evaluation account. Reducing position size or stepping aside before the release is the safer approach on a challenge with drawdown limits.
Historical price reactions are shown for educational purposes only. Past reactions do not guarantee future outcomes and are not financial advice.